Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 278.161498 314.515575 354.969660 403.530543 460.510464 525.577362 605.970499
2025-05-25 229.235507 278.114093 337.497745 415.816420 517.682342 647.501875 828.434972
2025-06-01 197.826711 250.789125 318.810255 414.190858 547.127493 729.947442 1007.859189
2025-06-08 173.245495 227.150153 299.424417 405.797210 562.564837 792.177377 1168.019179
2025-06-15 157.198621 212.165621 288.664391 406.165031 588.231843 870.756920 1366.548490
2025-06-22 141.620978 195.711926 273.334841 396.882564 596.623243 922.421617 1530.434367
2025-06-29 130.825936 184.802146 264.509689 395.718453 616.663721 995.016796 1745.799067
2025-07-06 118.009413 169.568171 247.431287 379.064468 608.080480 1016.092836 1868.051323
2025-07-13 114.097545 167.401368 250.145708 394.734093 656.827796 1147.978642 2243.963000
2025-07-20 110.879843 165.927505 253.650594 411.908115 710.530488 1299.004716 2704.129884
2025-07-27 105.217211 160.001169 249.194426 414.395850 736.753824 1399.715632 3078.500695
2025-08-03 98.044569 151.017293 238.756380 404.761843 737.692625 1447.051476 3334.691964
2025-08-10 91.567207 142.875341 229.348680 396.552699 741.491919 1504.050737 3643.009196
2025-08-17 88.855154 140.908036 230.578950 408.816316 790.094503 1674.476091 4335.303663
2025-08-24 84.356255 135.487583 225.106879 407.199229 808.265732 1775.806936 4862.549602
2025-08-31 79.365861 128.842049 216.832710 398.981425 810.333208 1837.068191 5286.881371
2025-09-07 75.947676 124.749454 212.946007 399.341402 832.247765 1955.348260 5962.070680
2025-09-14 71.635201 118.753254 204.988608 390.249620 830.251205 2007.928515 6421.799973
2025-09-21 68.620319 114.937442 200.921939 389.109345 847.639304 2120.003080 7174.218633
2025-09-28 64.101031 108.066816 190.420682 372.794669 824.462915 2107.244750 7400.529666
2025-10-05 63.389977 108.280361 193.908825 388.145132 885.616963 2368.599670 9004.309602
2025-10-12 62.817482 108.707755 197.841977 404.966058 953.843395 2673.969023 11062.733576
2025-10-19 60.838086 106.290730 195.757566 407.402367 982.753207 2855.645703 12623.725740